The momentum surrounding Bitcoin appears unyielding.
Geoffrey Kendrick, head of digital assets at Standard Chartered, opines that Bitcoin’s perceived role as a safe haven is increasingly reinforced by the fiscal impasse in Washington.
This rally has also been supported by the phenomenon termed “Uptober,” a term utilized by traders to delineate Bitcoin’s historical tendency for robust gains during October.
Data indicates that over the past decade, October has yielded average returns exceeding 21%, often setting the foundation for significant fourth-quarter performance. Since 2015, Bitcoin has averaged a gain of nearly 58% in the fourth quarter, outperforming all other three-month intervals.
It seems institutions are influencing this surge, with heightened investments into exchange-traded funds and digital custody services indicating a renewed interest from both retail and institutional investors.
Future Prospects for Bitcoin
Bitcoin has engaged in sideways trading in recent months; however, key liquidity indicators suggested that this breakout was imminent. Global M2 growth, stablecoin supply dynamics, and the rally in gold prices — with which Bitcoin has closely aligned, exhibiting a 40-day lag — all point upward.
Analysts at JPMorgan contend that Bitcoin is undervalued in relation to gold, estimating a theoretical upside to $165,000 if the “debasement trade” — involving investments that hedge against fiat currency risks — persists.
Market observers, including Kendrick, have adjusted their projections in light of Bitcoin’s rally. Some forecasts now predict prices could surpass $135,000 in the short term and potentially reach $200,000 by year’s end should current trends continue.
As of the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $123,319.82.
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