This week the Wall Street analyst and Fundstrat govt, Tom Lee, has revealed a brand new index that helps cryptocurrency buyers know the precise time to purchase BTC. The indicator is named the ‘Bitcoin Misery Index’ that calculates a number of market elements.
The ‘Bitcoin Misery Index’
Fundstrat advisor Tom Lee is well-known for being an enormous believer in cryptocurrencies and has made a number of right BTC value predictions final yr. Lee predicted that BTC/USD markets would rally previous the $10Okay mark in addition to outperform conventional property by the top of the yr. Even although crypto-markets have been affected by a bearish city flip over the long term Lee remains to be bullish.
Lee has created a ‘Bitcoin Misery Index’ that’s calculated on a scale of 0-100, and proper now the index is at 18.8, the bottom it’s been since 2011 based on Lee in an interview with the published Fast Money. A distress index is a technique of utilizing contrarian financial indicators and was created by the economist Arthur Okun. Lee’s distress index takes under consideration a wide range of BTC market elements together with profitable trades and volatility.
“Think of this index as a way to measure how happy or sad you are owning bitcoin,” Lee explains.
When the Bitcoin Misery Index is at ‘distress’ (below 27), bitcoin sees the most effective 12-month efficiency.
$20,000 By Mid-Year 2018
According to Lee when the distress index is low, it’s a superb time for buyers to amass extra bitcoin investing in a extra contrarian method. “While short-term the low points are a signal of pain, long term it could be a great entry way into bitcoin,” Lee particulars. “The last four times this was below 27…there was not a single instance with bitcoin not up 12 months later.”
“It is really uncommon to be this miserable owning bitcoin, The last few times this happened was in November 2012, September 2016 and January 2015,” Lee emphasizes.
And bitcoin was increased a month later — The index is telling us, it’s actually robust to personal it for the following week and even two weeks, three weeks — But we’re getting by way of this. The BMI is telling us to maintain the unfavorable headlines in perspective. When the BMI is at a ‘distress’ degree, future returns are excellent.
The Fundstrat advisor nonetheless firmly believes his prediction made just a few weeks prior that by the center of the yr bitcoin can be as soon as once more round $20Okay and probably $25,000 by year-end.
What do you concentrate on Tom Lee and his Bitcoin Misery Index? Do you assume he’s proper or improper? Let us know your ideas within the comments below.